Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Cusco FC are due to face Independiente Medellín in Copa Libertadores group play, and Polymarket is pricing the match contract at 0% YES today, which on the platform means no visible willingness to pay for a settlement on that outcome in USDC on Polygon. With conditional tokens resolving against the match result, that kind of read usually reflects either a stale market, a completed event that has already been reflected elsewhere, or a contract where liquidity never built after the fixture was added.

Recent comparable Libertadores markets have tended to snap back towards the live result once line-ups, kick-off confirmation and official scores are posted, especially for cross-border fixtures where early data can lag. The H2H record in the search results points to Medellín having had the edge, including a 3-2 away win in Cusco and prior results with low scoring totals, so any pricing model built before settlement would normally anchor around the match state rather than the headline fixture alone.

For traders watching the final settlement path, the main catalysts are the official Copa Libertadores match report, club and competition line-ups, and any confirmation of whether the game was completed as scheduled at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. FotMob and SofaScore both listed the tie for 21 May 2026 at 02:00 UTC, while recent match coverage on YouTube indicates Medellín had already won the away leg 3-2 on 20 May, which is likely the key dependency for how the contract resolves if the market is tied to the scheduled fixture rather than the home leg alone.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.