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Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff

Five-platform snapshot of "Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 2 Winner 100% Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 22.5 99% Volume: $830K Liquidity: $228K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 2 Winner100%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 22.599%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 21.592%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Match O/U 23.584%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff68%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.56%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set Handicap +/-1.55%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 1 Winner0%
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon wta: solana sierra vs coco gauff. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Solana Sierra and Coco Gauff in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to '…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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