Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
44% | 56% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
44% | 56% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 44% Over | 56% Under |
| Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 36% Over 2.5 | 65% Under 2.5 |
| Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 37% Over | 64% Under |
| Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu Set 2 Winner | 40% Ruzic | 61% Raducanu |
| Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
| Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 52% Over | 48% Under |
Market context
Market consensus: 44% chance of wimbledon wta: antonia ruzic vs emma raducanu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Antonia Ruzic and Emma Raducanu in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
This page reviews Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon WTA: Antonia Ruzic vs Emma Raducanu on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Kalshi UK →