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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 59% Map 1 Winner 57% Map 2 Winner 57% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 56% Volume: $161K Liquidity: $276K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner59%
Map 1 Winner57%
Map 2 Winner57%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.556%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.553%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.552%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.552%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)48%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.548%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)47%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)44%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.544%
Map Handicap: KRÜ (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)32%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 59% probability to valorant: krü esports vs loud (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between KRÜ Esports and LOUD in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 17 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports" …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas S… on Kalshi UK

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