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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Volume: $706K Closes: 9 Jul 2026
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Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs NRG (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs NRG (+4.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: gentle mates vs nrg (bo3) - esports world cup playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 2 match between Gentle Mates and NRG in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 9 at 9:45AM ET. This market wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World … on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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