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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 2.5 Games 69% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 67% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 59% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 50% Volume: $205K Liquidity: $191K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
69% 31% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
69% 31% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 2.5 Games69%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.567%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.559%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs FURIA Esports (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-5.5) vs FURIA Esports (+5.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-7.5) vs FURIA Esports (+7.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs FURIA Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 1 Winner40%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)40%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)38%
Map 2 Winner36%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs FURIA Esports (+3.5)35%
Match Winner34%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 69% probability to valorant: furia esports vs mibr (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. This market refers to the Valorant match between FURIA Esports and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 26 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Espor…

Methodology

We track Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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