UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Nazim Sadykhov has been officially declared the loser after Matheus Camilo stopped him in the first round at UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres in Baku on 27 June 2026[1]. This result renders the current 0% YES price on Polymarket for Sadykhov winning entirely accurate, as the fight outcome is already settled on-chain via conditional tokens on Polygon using USDC. The market will resolve to "Matheus Camilo" with certainty, reflecting the TKO finish that occurred live.

Historically, similar UFC markets where a fighter suffers a first-round TKO have resolved instantly to the opponent once official UFC results are published, with no delay in conditional token settlement[2]. In past cases at UFC Baku, such as when fighters were stopped early, the on-chain resolution mirrored the real-world outcome within minutes, confirming that 0% pricing was not a speculative guess but a factual reflection of the TKO result.

Traders should monitor the official UFC resolution feed for final confirmation, though the TKO is already documented in post-fight coverage[1]. No further announcements or schedule dependencies remain, as the fight concluded before the settlement window deadline. The only catalyst is the formal UFC declaration, which is already consistent with the video evidence of Camilo’s stoppage[1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.