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UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)

Five-platform snapshot of "UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% O/U 1.5 Rounds 76% O/U 2.5 Rounds 66% Fight to Go the Distance? 60% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $149K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds92%
O/U 1.5 Rounds76%
O/U 2.5 Rounds66%
Fight to Go the Distance?60%
Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima35%
Fight won by KO/TKO?26%
Charrière to win by KO/TKO?14%
Lima to win by KO/TKO?14%
Fight won by submission?14%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: morgan charrière vs. felipe lima (featherweight, main card) stands at 92% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Morgan Charrière" if Morgan Charrière is officially declared the winner of the fight against Felipe Lima at UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse, sched…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 92% for "UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $116K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (F… on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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