IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

IF Elfsborg faced IK Sirius in the Allsvenskan on 19 July 2026, with the match concluding 3–0 to the home side. The prediction market “IF Elfsborg vs. IK Sirius - More Markets” now shows a 0% YES probability, reflecting that the underlying event has already occurred and no further conditional outcomes remain unresolved on-chain.

Historically, similar Allsvenskan “more markets” contracts on Polymarket settle at 0% or 100% once the match ends, as conditional tokens are redeemed based on final stats like goals, cards, or corners. In past seasons, markets tied to post-match variables (e.g. “over 2.5 goals”) that failed to trigger saw immediate price collapse to zero within minutes of the final whistle, mirroring today’s pricing[1][2].

Traders should monitor official match reports and league confirmations for any disputed stats that could delay settlement, though ESPN’s live score and Unibet’s lineups confirm the 3–0 result with no ambiguity[1][2]. With settlement locked for 2026-07-19T14:30:00Z and the game already finished, no new catalysts—such as lineup changes or injury updates—can alter the outcome. The USDC-denominated contract on Polygon will resolve automatically once the oracle confirms the final match data, leaving no room for price movement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.