AIK vs. Orgryte IS - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

AIK and Örgryte meet in Allsvenskan, and Polymarket currently prices the **“More Markets”** contract at **0% YES**, so the market is assigning no value to an additional listed outcome being resolved in the buyer’s favour on the current read. On Polymarket, that exposure sits in USDC and settles via Polygon-based conditional tokens, so the trade is less about the football headline itself than whether the specific extra market condition is satisfied by the match official record.

The historical frame is straightforward: this is a top-flight fixture with a clear table gap, but the contract is not a simple win-or-lose bet on the result. AIK were listed around mid-table while Örgryte sat lower and arrived with weak away numbers, including a run of poor recent results and limited scoring away from home[1][3][16]. Comparable Allsvenskan previews also point to AIK carrying the stronger home profile and Örgryte struggling to create, which helps explain why traders often treat “more markets” contracts as dependent on familiar match-state catalysts rather than pure team strength[1][9][16].

What matters now is the dependency chain: confirmed line-ups, any late injuries or rest decisions, and whether the fixture state remains aligned with the market’s exact settlement wording before kick-off and through full time. The match was scheduled for 14:30 UTC at Strawberry Arena, and several live-score services still listed it as not started at the time of publication, underscoring that settlement risk in these side markets turns on official match completion and any related market rule triggers rather than the pre-match consensus alone[1][2][5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track AIK vs. Orgryte IS - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.