CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association

Platform comparison

Market context

CD Los Chankas secured a 1–0 victory over Sport Boys Association in the Peru Liga 1 clash at Estadio Los Chankas on Sunday, 19 July 2026, confirming the outcome that the Polymarket contract priced at 100% YES implied all along [1][9]. On-chain, this resolution settles immediately in USDC on Polygon, converting conditional tokens into full payout for YES holders without further volatility, as the match result is now a settled fact rather than a probabilistic forecast.

Historically, contracts reaching 100% implied probability before settlement in Liga 1 fixtures have almost exclusively resolved YES when the home side held a clear win-rate advantage and played at altitude, mirroring this fixture where Los Chankas carried a 64.97% win rate against Sport Boys’ 48.31% [12]. Bookmakers consistently priced Los Chankas as favourites with implied win probabilities near 51–60%, aligning tightly with the market’s certainty and validating the 100% price as a reflection of overwhelming pre-match data rather than speculation [1][3].

Traders should note that the only catalysts for this market were pre-match lineups and kick-off confirmation, both now resolved; no post-match announcements or schedule dependencies remain active. The final score of 1–0 matched the most common correct-score prediction across betting sites, which had offered +430 odds for that exact outcome [1][8]. With the settlement window closed and the result confirmed, the contract’s lifecycle is complete, and USDC payouts are now executable on-chain.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews CD Los Chankas vs. Sport Boys Association across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.