San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

San Jose Earthquakes v Orlando City SC is an MLS match at PayPal Park, and Polymarket is pricing the “More Markets” contract at **0% YES** today, which means the market is assigning no value to any qualifying side market being resolved in the affirmative on settlement. On Polymarket, that exposure is held in **USDC** on **Polygon**, with the market resolving through conditional tokens rather than a conventional bookmaker line.

For context, comparable Earthquakes–Orlando meetings have produced mixed outcomes: Orlando won 1-0 in one recent regular-season game, while San Jose also beat Orlando 3-0 in another, which shows the fixture can swing from tight to open depending on venue and line-up availability.[6][4] That history matters for “More Markets” because these contracts usually depend on the final match record, scoreline, or event list rather than the headline winner alone, so a 0% price often reflects the market thinking the listed condition is already effectively out of range or unavailable.

The main catalysts are squad news, late injury updates, and any pre-match scheduling or competition dependencies that alter who is available at kick-off; ESPN listed the game as played on 22 July 2026, while 365Scores placed it at 02:30 on 23 July UTC at PayPal Park, matching the settlement window and suggesting the contract should have resolved once the match finished.[1][3] Traders watching the on-chain market would typically focus on whether Polymarket’s oracle can settle cleanly after full-time, and whether any official MLS team news changes the parameters that the “More Markets” bundle tracks.[1][3]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.