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CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 81% CF Montréal O/U 0.5 63% Toronto FC O/U 0.5 53% O/U 1.5 51% Volume: $141K Liquidity: $454K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.581%
CF Montréal O/U 0.563%
Toronto FC O/U 0.553%
O/U 1.551%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
2nd Half O/U 0.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
CF Montréal 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
CF Montréal 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score34%
CF Montréal O/U 1.525%
O/U 2.523%
Toronto FC O/U 1.516%
CF Montréal (-1.5)14%
O/U 3.59%
Toronto FC (-1.5)7%
CF Montréal O/U 2.57%
CF Montréal (-2.5)4%
Toronto FC O/U 2.53%
O/U 4.52%
Toronto FC (-2.5)1%
O/U 5.51%
Both Teams to Score in First Half1%
1st Half O/U 0.51%
1st Half O/U 1.51%
1st Half O/U 2.51%
CF Montréal 1st Half O/U 0.51%
CF Montréal 1st Half O/U 1.51%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.51%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.51%

Market context

The CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 81% YES. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 16 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets on Kalshi UK

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Related Topics

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