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Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians

Live odds for "Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

9% YES 91% NO Volume: $662K Liquidity: $401K Closes: 3 Jun 2026
Trade on Kalshi UK →
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi UK Pick
polygram.ink
 9% 91% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 9% 91% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.

Active sub-markets

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians9% YES92% NO
NRFI0% YES100% NO
O/U 8.528% YES72% NO
O/U 4.590% YES11% NO
O/U 5.568% YES33% NO
O/U 6.556% YES45% NO

Market context

Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians — current market-implied probability: 9%. In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for May 27 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals wi…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 9% probability for "Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians".

YES 9% NO 91%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $662K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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