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New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

Comparison of odds and platforms for "New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 53% O/U 6.5 48% New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox 46% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 39% Volume: $242K Liquidity: $199K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
53% 47% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
53% 47% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.553%
O/U 6.548%
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox46%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.539%
O/U 7.536%
Spread -1.535%
Spread -1.532%
O/U 8.528%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.528%
Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.521%
Spread -2.521%
O/U 9.521%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.518%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.515%
Extra Innings13%
NRFI0%
O/U 5.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, new york yankees vs. chicago white sox stands at 53% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 30 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yan…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 53% for "New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 53% Other 47%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $242K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports