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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Five-platform snapshot of "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NRFI 100% Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 100% Volume: $510K Liquidity: $762K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
O/U 6.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners0%
O/U 8.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.50%
Extra Innings0%
O/U 9.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -1.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of los angeles angels vs. seattle mariners. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Angels and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for June 29 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Angels" if the Los Angel…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $510K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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