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Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Five-platform snapshot of "Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

34% YES 66% NO Volume: $439K Liquidity: $954K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
Trade on Kalshi UK →
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi UK Pick
polygram.ink
 34% 66% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 34% 66% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.

Active sub-markets

Spread -1.534% Toronto Blue Jays67% Houston Astros
O/U 8.554% Over47% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.550% Houston Astros51% Toronto Blue Jays
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.549% Toronto Blue Jays51% Houston Astros
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550% Houston Astros50% Toronto Blue Jays
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550% Toronto Blue Jays50% Houston Astros

Market context

The Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays prediction market currently prices this outcome at 34% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 23 at 4:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. This m…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 34% probability for "Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays".

YES 34% NO 66%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $439K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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