Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels

Platform comparison

Market context

The Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Angels played their scheduled MLB game on 19 July at Angel Stadium, with the Angels securing a 3–2 victory to avoid a series sweep [1][2]. Because the game has already concluded and the Tigers lost, the prediction market titled “Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels” correctly reflects a 0% YES probability for a Tigers win, as the outcome is settled factually [2][3].

On Polymarket, this contract trades in USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens that lock resolution to the official MLB final statistics [1]. Historical precedent shows that once an MLB game ends, markets resolve instantly with no ambiguity; for example, the Tigers’ 2–1 win over the Angels on 17 July resolved cleanly to “Tigers” within minutes of the final out [5]. The current 0% price is not speculative but deterministic, mirroring how past completed games have locked in final outcomes without delay.

Traders should monitor no further catalysts for this specific contract, as the settlement window ending 2026-07-26T20:07:00Z is merely a formal confirmation period for the already-known result [1]. The only dependency is the official MLB record, which already confirms Ryan Johnson’s five-strikeout performance and the Angels’ RBI hits from Soler and Neto as the decisive factors [2][3]. Any attempt to trade this market now would be futile, as the outcome is irrevocably fixed.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.