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Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

38% YES 62% NO Volume: $232K Liquidity: $873K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
Trade on Kalshi UK →
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi UK Pick
polygram.ink
 38% 62% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 38% 62% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.

Active sub-markets

Spread -1.538% Cleveland Guardians63% Chicago White Sox
O/U 7.545% Over56% Under
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.537% Cleveland Guardians63% Chicago White Sox
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.561% Chicago White Sox40% Cleveland Guardians
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.529% Cleveland Guardians71% Chicago White Sox
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.550% Chicago White Sox50% Cleveland Guardians

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cleveland guardians vs. chicago white sox stands at 38% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for June 23 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Clevel…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 38% probability for "Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox".

YES 38% NO 62%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $232K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

Trade Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox on Kalshi UK

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