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LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

O/U 3.5 Games 74% First Blood in Game 2? 58% Game 4 Winner 56% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? 56% Volume: $131K Liquidity: $700K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games74%
First Blood in Game 2?58%
Game 4 Winner56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?54%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon53%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Game 3 Winner49%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
Game 1 Winner48%
Game 2 Winner48%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Match Winner46%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?39%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?37%
O/U 4.5 Games35%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)35%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)30%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)17%
Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)13%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 74% probability to lol: team vitality vs movistar koi (bo5) - lec playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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