Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Nongshim Esports Academy | 0% Weibo Gaming Youth Team |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Nongshim Esports Academy | 0% Weibo Gaming Youth Team |
| Match Winner | 100% Nongshim Esports Academy | 0% Weibo Gaming Youth Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (+1.5) | 100% Nongshim Esports Academy | 0% Weibo Gaming Youth Team |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 10% YES | 91% NO |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of lol: nongshim esports academy vs weibo gaming youth team (bo3) - asia masters group c. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Winners match between Nongshim Esports Academy and Weibo Gaming Youth Team in the Asia Masters Group C, initially scheduled for June 9 at 6:00AM ET. …
Methodology
We track LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth … on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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