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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Live odds for "LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 81% Game 2 Winner 74% Game 1 Winner 72% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Volume: $105K Liquidity: $671K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner81%
Game 2 Winner74%
Game 1 Winner72%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?65%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?64%
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)55%
First Blood in Game 2?55%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
O/U 2.5 Games39%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor18%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 81% probability to lol: movistar koi vs shifters (bo3) - lec regular season. This market refers to the LoL match between Movistar KOI and Shifters in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for July 31 at 1:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar K…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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