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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Live odds for "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Match Winner 98% Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) 95% Game 1 Winner 91% Game 2 Winner 90% Volume: $172K Liquidity: $308K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner98%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)95%
Game 1 Winner91%
Game 2 Winner90%
Game 3 Winner90%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?75%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)74%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?73%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor65%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Any Player Quadra Kill61%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors61%
Any Player Quadra Kill61%
Game 4 Winner60%
Any Player Penta Kill60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Odd/Even Total Kills55%
Odd/Even Total Kills52%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon45%
Any Player Quadra Kill43%
Any Player Quadra Kill42%
Any Player Quadra Kill42%
First Blood in Game 3?40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
First Blood in Game 1?39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
First Blood in Game 2?37%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon36%
First Blood in Game 4?36%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?34%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?33%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?32%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?30%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?30%
Any Player Penta Kill28%
O/U 3.5 Games26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor21%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors20%
O/U 4.5 Games5%
Any Player Penta Kill4%

Market context

Market consensus: 98% chance of lol: hanwha life esports vs team secret whales (bo5) - mid-season invitational playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Team Secret Whales in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for…

Methodology

We track LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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