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LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 73% Match Winner 66% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66% Volume: $102K Liquidity: $259K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon73%
Match Winner66%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?66%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?62%
Game 1 Winner60%
Game 2 Winner60%
First Blood in Game 1?53%
First Blood in Game 2?53%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?48%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?38%
Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?35%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Quadra Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor19%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors16%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season. This market refers to the LoL match between GIANTX and SK Gaming in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the matc…

Methodology

We track LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season on Kalshi UK

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