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LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) 70% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 60% Any Player Penta Kill 53% Volume: $109K Liquidity: $478K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
70% 30% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
70% 30% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)70%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?60%
Any Player Penta Kill53%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors49%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?46%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?36%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?36%
O/U 2.5 Games28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Game 1 Winner19%
Game 2 Winner19%
Match Winner10%

Market context

LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season — current market-implied probability: 70%. This market refers to the LoL match between Dignitas and LYON in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 9 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win the matc…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade LoL: Dignitas vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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