LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend faces Karmine Corp in the League of Legends Quarterfinal 2 at the Esports World Cup Playoffs, with the match set to begin at 7:00AM ET today. On Polymarket, this contract trades at a 73% implied probability for Anyone’s Legend, reflecting strong crowd conviction that aligns closely with Strafe’s user polls, which show 72.9% favouring the Chinese side[1]. The price sits on Polygon, settled in USDC via conditional tokens, meaning traders are effectively betting on the outcome of a live BO3 without needing to manage off-chain payouts.

Historically, similar LoL prediction markets at major tournaments have seen early prices drift only when in-game momentum shifts or roster issues emerge mid-match. In the Esports World Cup 2026 China Qualifier Phase 2, Anyone’s Legend was predicted to beat Top Esports 2:1, a result that mirrored their consistent quarterfinal performance against European teams[3]. This pattern suggests the 73% figure is not an overreaction but a grounded assessment of AL’s quarterfinal reliability, especially against less experienced European squads like Karmine Corp.

Traders should monitor the official DAZN broadcast schedule for any delays, as the stream is live and free globally, excluding restricted regions like China and South Korea[2]. Any announcement regarding roster changes, server stability, or match postponement beyond seven days would trigger the 50-50 settlement clause, instantly resetting the contract. With the settlement window closing at 19:30 UTC today, liquidity may tighten as the match approaches, making early entry more efficient for those confident in AL’s quarterfinal form.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

We track LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.