Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Anyang | 100% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this contract at **0% YES** on USDC deposits and Polygon-based conditional tokens, so the market is treating a settled “yes” as effectively off the board rather than merely unlikely. The real-world event is Bucheon FC 1995 hosting FC Anyang in K League 1 at Bucheon Stadium, with kick-off scheduled for Wednesday, 22 July 2026.[2][3]
For context, a 0% reading on a football match contract usually reflects one of two things on Polymarket: either the event has already been resolved or traders have not put any meaningful liquidity behind the outcome. In comparable football markets, prices tend to move only when there is fresh team news, confirmed line-ups, or a recognised result source that settles the conditional token. Independent listings for this fixture still show standard 1X2-style odds, including average prices of 2.45 for the draw, 3.10 for the away side, and 2.88 for the home side, which suggests the underlying match itself is being treated as a live sporting event rather than a foregone conclusion.[1]
The main catalysts for a trader to watch are the official match report, any late team announcements, and whether the market has already been settled by the oracle process after full-time. Because Polymarket contracts settle through the outcome recorded on chain rather than by opinion, the relevant dependency is whether the recognised source for this fixture confirms the result before the settlement window closes. Venue and fixture pages agree on the same date and location, which reduces ambiguity around the event definition, but not around whether the contract has already finalised.[2][3]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $165K.
Methodology
This page reviews Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang on Kalshi UK
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