Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
17% | 83% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
17% | 83% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 17% |
| United States 2 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 14% |
| United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 13% |
| United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 11% |
| United States 1 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 10% |
| United States 3 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 10% |
| United States 3 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 8% |
| United States 0 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 6% |
| United States 2 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 4% |
| United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3% |
| United States 1 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3% |
| United States 3 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 3% |
| United States 0 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1% |
| United States 1 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1% |
| United States 2 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1% |
| United States 3 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 1% |
| United States 0 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% |
Market context
The United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Exact Score prediction market currently prices this outcome at 17% YES. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the United States v…
Methodology
We track United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Exact Score on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →