Scotland vs. Brazil - Exact Score

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Market context

Scotland and Brazil will face off in a FIFA World Cup Group C match on 24 June 2026 at Miami Stadium, with the market resolving strictly on the 90-minute result. On Polymarket, this contract trades at a 6% implied probability for the listed exact score, priced in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens. The on-chain mechanics mean liquidity is locked until settlement, with payouts automated via the protocol once the official score is confirmed.

Historically, Scotland has never defeated Brazil in World Cup history, losing three of four encounters with one draw, while Brazil averages 1.8 goals per game against them compared to Scotland’s 0.4 [5][8]. This long-standing disparity frames the current 6% probability as a cautious but not impossible bet, reflecting Brazil’s dominance in past fixtures and their superior goal-scoring record in recent qualifiers [2]. The historical trend suggests that exact scores involving Brazil’s higher goal output are more likely, yet the market remains tight due to Scotland’s recent competitive form.

Traders should monitor final line-up announcements and any late injury updates for key players like Paquetá or Scotland’s midfield anchors, as these directly impact goal probability [3]. The over/under 2.5 goals market is set at -116 for over, indicating expectations of a multi-goal match [1]. Recent squad news from FIFA confirms both teams are finalising preparations ahead of the Miami Stadium fixture, with no postponement expected [6]. Any shift in starting formations could alter the exact score probability significantly before the settlement window closes on 24 June at 22:00 UTC.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Scotland vs. Brazil - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.