Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Qatar will face Switzerland in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage on 13 June at 3:00 PM ET. The market prices an exact-score outcome at 4% implied probability, reflecting the specificity required: traders must correctly predict both teams' final tallies across 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalties factored into settlement. On Polygon, this conditional token trades against "Any Other Score," meaning the 96% complementary probability absorbs all remaining scorelines.

Exact-score markets in football typically compress tight probabilities because the outcome space fragments across dozens of plausible results. Historical World Cup group-stage matches between comparable sides show that scorelines cluster around 1–0, 1–1, and 2–1 outcomes, each individually capturing 8–12% of the probability mass. Qatar's 2022 World Cup campaign saw them concede 6 goals across three matches with minimal offensive output, whilst Switzerland qualified for 2026 after finishing second in their European qualifying group. The 4% price suggests traders view no single scoreline as sufficiently probable to warrant higher odds, a rational assessment given Qatar's defensive vulnerabilities and Switzerland's mid-tier attacking consistency.

Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury updates as the match approaches, particularly regarding Switzerland's attacking personnel and Qatar's goalkeeper availability. Recent FIFA rankings place Switzerland at 19th globally whilst Qatar sits outside the top 50, a gap that typically correlates with higher-scoring Swiss performances. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on match day, allowing only the final whistle to determine resolution; any postponement keeps the contract open until completion rather than triggering early closure.

Methodology

This page reviews Qatar vs. Switzerland - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.