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Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Côte d'Ivoire 65% Curaçao 36% Volume: $475K Liquidity: $2.6M Closes: 25 Jun 2026
Trade on Kalshi UK →
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi UK Pick
polygram.ink
 65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.

Active sub-markets

Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)65% Côte d'Ivoire36% Curaçao
O/U 1.585% Over16% Under
Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)43% Côte d'Ivoire57% Curaçao
O/U 3.542% Over59% Under
O/U 5.512% Over89% Under
Curaçao (-1.5)1% Curaçao99% Côte d'Ivoire

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, curaçao vs. côte d'ivoire - more markets stands at 65% likelihood according to current market consensus. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 4:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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