Jordan vs. Algeria - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Polymarket currently prices **Jordan vs. Algeria – Exact Score** at **7% YES**, which implies the crowd sees a single listed scoreline as unlikely in a USDC-settled contract on Polygon. The market will resolve from the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, so extra time and penalties do not matter; if the score is not one of the named outcomes, it falls into **Any Other Score**.

That low single-digit price is easier to read against the match’s wider profile than as a pure forecast of one exact result. ESPN’s live odds showed Algeria as the shorter-priced side on the moneyline, while the draw was also materially live, and the total sat around 2.5 goals, a setup that usually spreads probability across many scorelines rather than concentrating it in one exact number.[2] FIFA’s preview also framed the game as a high-stakes group-stage fixture for both teams after opening defeats, which adds pressure but does not point to a single dominant score pattern.[6] Flashscore listed Jordan at FIFA ranking 63 and Algeria at 28, a gap that supports Algeria’s stronger baseline but still leaves plenty of room for low-scoring and draw-heavy outcomes.[3]

For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or suspension news, and whether the match stays on its scheduled path to completion, because the contract remains open if the fixture is postponed.[6] The venue listing at Levi’s Stadium confirms the World Cup schedule and kick-off slot, while Polymarket mechanics mean the relevant on-chain exposure is purely to the exact regulation score, not to who “should” win on paper.[4] That makes pre-match team-news releases, tactical changes, and any late market repricing in the underlying football odds the most useful signals to watch.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.