Switzerland vs. Colombia - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Switzerland and Colombia meet in Vancouver on Tuesday, 7 July 2026, at 4:00 PM ET for a FIFA World Cup Round of 16 clash, with the market on Polymarket pricing the “Exact Score” outcome at 11% YES today. The contract trades on Polygon using USDC, settling via conditional tokens once the 90-minute result is confirmed, excluding extra time and shoot-outs.

Historically, this fixture has been tight: the two sides have played just twice since 1994, with Colombia winning both, including a 2–0 victory at the 1994 World Cup in San Francisco [3][6]. In recent World Cup form, Switzerland are unbeaten in three straight tournament matches, while Colombia remain unbeaten across all four of their 2026 games [1]. That balance of momentum and past dominance helps frame why the exact score is priced so low despite Colombia’s slight betting favourite status (+130) [1].

Traders should monitor pre-match squad announcements, particularly for Colombia’s attacking line, and any late weather updates for BC Place, which could affect tempo [2]. A key catalyst is the confirmed starting XI release, expected around 3:00 PM ET, as Colombia’s flair and creativity could shift the goal probability if their top scorers are fit [7]. ESPN’s live match data also shows Colombia favoured on the -0.5 spread (+125), suggesting market confidence in a narrow win [4].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.