Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
14% | 86% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
14% | 86% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria | 14% |
| Switzerland 1 - 1 Algeria | 14% |
| Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria | 11% |
| Switzerland 0 - 0 Algeria | 10% |
| Switzerland 2 - 0 Algeria | 10% |
| Any Other Score | 8% |
| Switzerland 0 - 1 Algeria | 8% |
| Switzerland 1 - 2 Algeria | 7% |
| Switzerland 2 - 2 Algeria | 6% |
| Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria | 5% |
| Switzerland 3 - 1 Algeria | 5% |
| Switzerland 3 - 2 Algeria | 3% |
| Switzerland 0 - 2 Algeria | 3% |
| Switzerland 1 - 3 Algeria | 2% |
| Switzerland 2 - 3 Algeria | 2% |
| Switzerland 3 - 3 Algeria | 1% |
| Switzerland 0 - 3 Algeria | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 14% YES probability for Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Algeria, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Switzerland vs. Algeria match o…
Methodology
We track Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Switzerland vs. Algeria - Exact Score on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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