United States vs. Senegal - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The United States men's football team will face Senegal in an international friendly on 31 May 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 3:30 PM ET. Polymarket currently prices conditional tokens for "More Markets" on this fixture at 0%, reflecting either minimal trader interest in secondary market outcomes or genuine scarcity of liquidity for ancillary betting options tied to this match. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC that same day, giving traders roughly sixteen hours post-match to resolve positions.

International friendlies between established confederations rarely generate the secondary-market depth that competitive tournaments command. The USMNT's recent friendly fixtures—including matches against Mexico, Canada, and various European sides—have typically attracted modest volumes on derivative contracts beyond match result and goal-total markets. Senegal, ranked within Africa's top tier, represents a competitive opponent, but May friendlies often feature rotated squads and experimental formations, which historically dampens speculative interest in granular outcomes. The 0% pricing suggests traders have not yet deposited USDC or bridged conditional tokens to Polygon for this particular cluster, a common pattern for lower-profile fixtures weeks in advance.

Catalysts for market activation include official team sheet announcements, which typically arrive 24–48 hours before kick-off, and any late withdrawals due to injury or club commitments. Polymarket's conditional token architecture means new markets can be created and funded rapidly once sufficient trader demand materialises. Monitor official USMNT and Senegalese Football Federation channels for squad news; unexpected absences or tactical shifts often trigger fresh market creation and liquidity migration.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?

Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.