Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Palestine and Kenya will meet in a FIFA International Friendly on 6 June 2026, with the match kicking off at 8:30 AM ET. The market prices the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Polymarket currently reflects 100% probability across all listed outcomes combined, indicating the contract is fully funded and ready for settlement. Traders are pricing conditional tokens on USDC via Polygon, with resolution tied strictly to the official final whistle result.

The 100% crowd probability here reflects standard Polymarket mechanics rather than certainty about any single scoreline. Historical friendlies between lower-ranked nations show wide variance in outcomes: Palestine (FIFA rank 99) and Kenya (FIFA rank 110) have limited recent head-to-head data, but comparable fixtures between nations in this ranking band typically produce 1–2 goal margins. The "Any Other Score" category typically captures 40–60% of probability mass in exact-score markets, as the combinatorial nature of possible results (0–0 through 5+ goals) distributes probability thinly across individual outcomes.

Traders should monitor official FIFA scheduling confirmations and team news closer to June 2026, as international friendlies occasionally shift dates or venues with limited notice. Palestine's fixture calendar and Kenya's domestic league commitments may affect squad availability. The settlement window closes 6 June 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, providing a 4-hour buffer after the scheduled 8:30 AM kickoff for final score confirmation via official sources.

Methodology

This page reviews Palestine vs. Kenya - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Kalshi UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Kalshi UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.