Jordan vs. Colombia - More Markets

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Jordan will host Colombia in a FIFA International Friendly on 7 June at 7:00 PM ET. The market currently prices at 0% YES, indicating traders expect no additional markets to be created for this fixture on Polymarket. Settlement hinges on whether the platform's operators list further conditional tokens or derivative contracts tied to this match—separate from the primary match-outcome markets already live.

Polymarket's historical pattern with friendly matches shows sparse secondary-market creation. Most international friendlies receive only basic outcome contracts (1X2, over/under goals), with additional markets materialising primarily for high-profile fixtures involving top-ten ranked nations or continental qualifiers. Colombia ranks 12th in the FIFA standings; Jordan sits outside the top 50. The 0% probability reflects this precedent: friendlies between mid-tier and lower-ranked sides rarely justify the operational overhead of launching player-performance, corner-count, or card-based conditional tokens. Comparable fixtures between similar-ranked opponents over the past two years have settled without supplementary markets.

Traders monitoring this contract should track Polymarket's official announcements in the 48 hours before kickoff, as the platform occasionally adds markets late if fixture visibility spikes through media coverage or betting-volume surges. The match timing—evening ET—may influence whether US-based market operators deem it worth listing additional contracts. Colombia's recent Copa América participation and Jordan's AFC Asian Cup qualification status carry minimal weight for secondary-market decisions; operational capacity and platform liquidity forecasts drive listing choices far more than team prestige in friendly contexts.

Methodology

We track Jordan vs. Colombia - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.