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Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Game 1 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% Match Winner 88% Game 2 Winner 69% Volume: $62K Liquidity: $235K Closes: 27 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
Match Winner88%
Game 2 Winner69%
Game Handicap: LVLUP (-1.5) vs PuckChamp (+1.5)69%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
O/U 2.5 Games32%
Any Player Rampage13%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Level UP and PuckChamp in the EPL Masters Group B, initially scheduled for July 27 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Level UP" if Level UP win …

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Dota 2: Level UP vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Gr… on Kalshi UK

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