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Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

50% YES 50% NO Volume: $969K Liquidity: $270K Closes: 26 May 2026
Trade on Kalshi UK →
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Kalshi UK Pick
polygram.ink
50% 50% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Kalshi UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
50% 50% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Kalshi UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Kalshi UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Kalshi UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Kalshi UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.

Active sub-markets

Ends in Daytime50% YES51% NO
Both Teams Beat Roshan50% YES51% NO
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50% YES51% NO
Any Player Ultra Kill50% YES50% NO
Any Player Rampage50% YES50% NO
Match Winner100% YES0% NO

Market context

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Falcons and ex-HEROIC in the BLAST Slam Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 26 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against ex-HEROIC. This market will resolve to "ex-HEROIC" if ex-HEROIC win the match against Team Falcons. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolv

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Kalshi UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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