Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC København O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC København 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| FC København 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 99% |
| FC København (-1.5) | 93% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Silkeborg IF 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| FC København 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Silkeborg IF O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| FC København (-2.5) | 15% |
| O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Silkeborg IF (-1.5) | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF (-2.5) | 0% |
| Silkeborg IF 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this **More Markets** contract at **0% YES**, so the market is effectively saying there is no liquidity-backed expectation that any qualifying side market will resolve in the affirmative before the settlement window closes. The real-world fixture is Silkeborg IF against FC København in the Danish Superliga at JYSK Park, and the contract settles off the match’s related market outcomes rather than the football result in the abstract. On Polymarket, traders are backing conditional tokens with USDC on Polygon, so the key question is whether the on-chain event feed will recognise one of the listed “more markets” as occurring before expiry.
Historical context points to a fixture that has often been lopsided, which helps explain why a catch-all side market can trade very thin when the likely outcomes are already well telegraphed. FC København have won 33 of the 54 recorded meetings in one head-to-head dataset, while Silkeborg have won 9 and 12 have drawn; another recent preview also shows København with the stronger season-long profile in goals and results. Recent comparable meetings have produced both one-sided and higher-scoring scores, including a 7-0 København win in April 2026 and a 3-3 draw in September 2025, so traders usually read these contracts through the lens of match state, not just team quality.
For catalysts, the main things to watch are line-ups, late injury or rotation news, and any pre-match changes to the listed “more markets” rules that determine what can settle yes. If the market is tied to goals, cards, corners, or a team-specific condition, the relevant dependency is the official data source and whether that statistic is still live when the 12:00 PM ET kick-off unfolds. Live listings confirm the fixture time and venue, which matters because any delayed start or abandonment would alter how the conditional token resolves on-chain.
Methodology
This page reviews Silkeborg IF vs. FC København - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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