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Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5 100% Volume: $138K Liquidity: $569K Closes: 13 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-6.5) vs QUAZAR (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-12.5) vs The Last Resort (+12.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs The Last Resort (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-3.5) vs The Last Resort (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-9.5) vs QUAZAR (+9.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-9.5) vs The Last Resort (+9.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)2%
Map 1 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)0%
Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: The Last Resort (-3.5) vs QUAZAR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QUAZAR (-6.5) vs The Last Resort (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Decider match between The Last Resort and QUAZAR in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B, initially scheduled for July 13 at 9:00AM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ES… on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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