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Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs SINQU (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs SINQU (+6.5) 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Volume: $97K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs SINQU (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs SINQU (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs SINQU (+6.5)50%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-6.5) vs SINQU (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-12.5) vs SINQU (+12.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-9.5) vs SINQU (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BC.Game Esports (-3.5) vs SINQU (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between SINQU and BC.Game Esports in the Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 1 at 8:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: SINQU vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Eli… on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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