ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies

Platform comparison

Market context

Ireland Women face West Indies Women in the first ODI of their series today in Dublin, with the match scheduled to conclude before the settlement window closes on 22 July 2026. The crowd-implied probability for Ireland winning sits at 0% YES, suggesting the market views a West Indies victory as virtually certain or the match as highly unlikely to produce an Ireland win under current conditions.

Historically, West Indies Women have dominated Ireland in bilateral ODI encounters, often securing victories by large margins; a recent 2026 match saw West Indies win by nine wickets, reinforcing the pattern of one-sided results that justifies the near-zero pricing for Ireland on Polymarket. On-chain, this contract trades in USDC on Polygon using conditional tokens, where the 0% price reflects the market’s consensus that Ireland’s win condition is effectively impossible given the teams’ relative strength and past outcomes.

Traders should monitor the official playing conditions and any pre-match announcements regarding player availability, weather delays, or pitch reports that could alter the expected margin, though no recent news source indicates a shift in the power dynamic. The primary catalyst remains the final match result published by ESPNcricinfo, which will determine settlement, while any DLS adjustments, Super Overs, or forfeits are treated as ordinary wins per the market rules. With the match underway today, the outcome will likely be resolved within hours, locking in the conditional token payout based on the finalized result.

Sources: 1

Methodology

We track ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.