The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this London Spirit v Manchester Super Giants Women contract at **0% YES**, so on-chain traders on Polygon are effectively assigning no value to a London Spirit win via the USDC-settled conditional token. With settlement tied to the final result published by ESPNcricinfo, the market will only pay out if the specified side is confirmed as the winner, including any on-field tiebreak or ruling that the competition treats as an ordinary win.

The comparable read-through is straightforward: the match was scheduled for 23 July 2026, and the available highlights show Manchester Super Giants winning by seven wickets after London Spirit were dismissed for 80, which is exactly the kind of finished result that removes ambiguity for resolution.[1][2][3] In prediction-market terms, a 0% print usually reflects either a concluded contest already reflected in the contract or a market where the remaining outcome has been priced as impossible.

For traders watching live or pre-resolution futures in this space, the key catalysts are fixture confirmation, team announcements, and any competition updates that can shift the settlement path before the window closes. The Hundred’s published fixture listing confirms the match at Lord’s on 23 July, which is the main dependency to check if there is any question over whether the event has been played as scheduled.[3] If a match is abandoned, shortened, or decided by DLS, DRS, or another on-field ruling, the market rules still treat that as an ordinary result for settlement, so the relevant trigger is the official final scoreline rather than the method of victory.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3

Methodology

This page reviews The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.