The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

The Hundred match at Lord’s between London Spirit and Manchester Super Giants has already been played in the women’s fixture, with Manchester Super Giants winning by 7 wickets, while the men’s game was scheduled for 18:30 local time. On Polymarket, the contract is still priced at **0% YES** for a London Spirit win, so the market is effectively saying there is no remaining path to a Spirit victory in the relevant settlement event unless a result is later corrected or reclassified on the official scorecard.

For traders, the main reference point is how The Hundred has often handled decisive outcomes: once the match is completed and published in the official result, the conditional token settles to the declared winner, including wins via DLS/DRS, over-rate sanctions, or any on-field ruling that awards a side the match. Tied games are normally resolved by the competition’s tiebreak rules, so a Super Over would still count as a win for the side that prevails. With a 0% implied probability, the market is already reflecting an outcome that appears settled rather than a live contest.

The practical catalysts now are administrative rather than sporting: the confirmed men’s scorecard on ESPNcricinfo, any late correction to the result, and the final match entry on London Spirit’s fixtures page. In Polymarket terms, USDC is locked into the Polygon-based conditional tokens contract until resolution, so the only meaningful move from here would come from an official result update rather than in-play uncertainty.

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Methodology

This page reviews The Hundred: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.