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Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Kalshi UK.

Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $136K Liquidity: $490K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 0.5100%
Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 1.5100%
Yunnan Yukun FC O/U 2.5100%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 0.5100%
Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Yunnan Yukun FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)0%
Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5)0%
Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 1.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC O/U 2.50%
Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Yunnan Yukun FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Dalian Yingbo FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Yunnan Yukun FC and Dalian Yingbo FC are scheduled to meet in the Chinese Super League on 15 August at 8:00 AM ET. The Polymarket contract for additional markets on this fixture is currently priced at 100% YES, reflecting near-certainty that secondary betting markets will materialise around the match. On-chain, this conditional token trades in USDC on Polygon, settling based on whether supplementary market offerings—such as player performance props, team statistics, or in-play derivatives—become available through major platforms ahead of or during the fixture.

Chinese Super League fixtures involving mid-table clubs typically generate modest but reliable secondary market activity, particularly when matches fall within European trading hours. Historical precedent suggests that fixtures scheduled for early morning ET attract fewer derivative markets than evening kickoffs, yet established platforms routinely list props for CSL matches regardless of timing. Dalian Yingbo's recent form and Yunnan Yukun's competitive standing will influence market depth, though the league's growing international audience has expanded liquidity across most fixtures.

The settlement window closes 15 August at 12:00 UTC, leaving a narrow window between kickoff and resolution. Traders should monitor official CSL communications for any fixture postponements or venue changes, which would directly affect whether secondary markets launch. Platform announcements from major prediction markets typically arrive 24–48 hours before match day; absence of such announcements by 14 August would signal reduced probability of additional markets materialising despite current pricing.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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