Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing the **exact score** contract on Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo at **0% YES**, which means the market is currently assigning no weight to any listed scoreline before the match settles in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens. The event is being tracked as a standard 90-minute result with stoppage time only; extra time and penalties do not count, so the trade is really about the final regulation score rather than who advances or wins on aggregate.

That zero price makes most sense against the historical head-to-head. Flamengo have dominated this matchup: FootyStats records **12 Flamengo wins in 17 meetings**, with Chapecoense winning only twice[1]. For an exact-score market, that kind of imbalance usually pushes liquidity towards a few Flamengo-favoured scorelines and leaves the rest as low-probability tail outcomes, which is why a blanket 0% on one specific listed score can still coexist with a plausible match result overall. In other words, the market is not saying “nothing can happen”; it is saying this particular score is not currently being paid for.

The main catalysts are straightforward: final team news, any late change to the kick-off or venue, and whether the match is played as scheduled at Arena Condá in Chapecó[2]. 365Scores listed the fixture for **23 July 2026 at 24:30** with Arena Condá as the venue[2], so traders will usually watch official club and league channels for confirmation if there is any scheduling drift. For Polymarket users, the practical edge comes from watching whether the order book starts to separate the obvious Flamengo win states from the “any other score” bucket as line-ups and travel context firm up.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.