Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kalshi UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Kalshi UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Kalshi UK.
Active sub-markets
| Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet | 100% Nick Kyrgios | 0% Corentin Moutet |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% Over 2.5 | 100% Under 2.5 |
| Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% Moutet | 100% Kyrgios |
| Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Match O/U 22.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, stuttgart open: nick kyrgios vs corentin moutet stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Nick Kyrgios and Corentin Moutet in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Kalshi UK?
- Zero. Kalshi UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet on Kalshi UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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