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Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 Winner 100% Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $533K Liquidity: $30K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 Winner100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 3.576%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 Winner55%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 36.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Match O/U 38.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata17%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 3 Winner9%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set Handicap +/-2.54%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 Winner0%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Set 2 O/U 9.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, wimbledon atp: jesper de jong vs rinky hijikata stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Jesper de Jong and Rinky Hijikata in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Kalshi UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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