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Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate

Five-platform snapshot of "Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Completed Match 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $116K Closes: 5 Oct 2026
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Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Kalshi UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Game Spread +/-3.5100%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate0%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 Winner0%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 Winner0%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 21.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 22.50%
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 23.50%

Market context

The Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Schoolkate prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Tristan Schoolkate in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Kalshi UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Kalshi UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

Trade Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Philip Henning vs Tristan Scho… on Kalshi UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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